Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
Anthropic Frontier Red Team
1 claim tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 1 pending grade.
AERS
—
Insufficient closed grades
Pending
1
Open horizons
Closed
0
Graded outcomes
First tracked
Oct 13, 2026
Open horizons
Anthropic Frontier Red Team: Small models may self-replicate on IoT devices by late 2026; 9B model ran inference on 8 of 9 hardware types tested
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between Anthropic Frontier Red Team’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.