Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
Commerce Department
7 claims tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 6 pending grades, 1 closed.
AERS
0
F · low confidence
Pending
6
Open horizons
Closed
1
Graded outcomes
First tracked
Apr 23, 2026
Grade distribution (1 closed)
Open horizons
Commerce Department: pre-deployment testing of Google, Microsoft, xAI models with no published pass/fail criteria
Commerce Department: Pre-deployment testing of Google, Microsoft, xAI models with no published pass/fail criteria
Commerce Department: March 11, 2026 deadline for state AI law evaluation missed by 55 days
Invalidator — The Commerce Department publishes the state AI law evaluation by June 30, 2026, with documentation showing it was completed but delayed for procedural reasons.
Commerce Department: March 11 deadline to evaluate state AI laws missed by 54 days
Invalidator — The Commerce Department publishes a substantive evaluation naming specific state AI laws (e.g., Colorado AI Act, California AB 2013, New York RAISE Act) as burdensome by June 30, 2026, as evidenced by Federal Register publication, Commerce Department press release, or coverage in Federal News Network or Nextgov.
Commerce Department: state AI law evaluation due March 11, 2026, remains unpublished 51 days later
Invalidator — The Commerce Department publicly releases the evaluation by June 11, 2026, or provides documentation (via FOIA response, official statement, or congressional testimony) showing the report was delivered to the White House by March 11, 2026, even if not made public.
Commerce Department required to publish evaluation of state AI laws by March 11, 2026
Invalidator — The Commerce Department publishes the required evaluation of state AI laws on its official website, NTIA.gov, or WhiteHouse.gov by May 11, 2026, and the document is referenced in official statements by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick or White House AI czar David Sacks as fulfilling the executive order's mandate.
Closed horizons
- F
Commerce Department: 90-day deadline missed on state AI law evaluation
Entry 003
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between Commerce Department’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.