Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
3 claims tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 3 pending grades.
AERS
—
Insufficient closed grades
Pending
3
Open horizons
Closed
0
Graded outcomes
First tracked
Apr 22, 2026
Open horizons
Google: 75% of new code is AI-generated, up from 50% in six months
Invalidator — Credible investigative reporting, leaked internal documents, or Google correcting its own disclosures shows the actual proportion of AI-generated code at Google in April 2026 was below 65%, or that the methodology counted code that was minimally AI-assisted as "AI-generated."
Google to invest up to $40 billion in Anthropic, contingent on performance milestones
Invalidator — Google invests less than $8 billion in Anthropic by December 31, 2026, or credible financial reporting (via IPO filings, earnings disclosures, or investigative journalism from Bloomberg, WSJ, or Financial Times) shows Anthropic did not meet the performance milestones and received less than $25 billion of the contingent $30 billion by April 2028.
Google: 75% of new code AI-generated
Invalidator — Google retracts or materially revises the 75% figure, or credible third-party analysis (e.g., from engineering trade publications or security researchers with access to Google codebases) demonstrates that AI contribution to committed code is below 60%.
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between Google’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.