Responsibility LedgerAppend-only · Dated · Signed

Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating

Google

8 claims tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 8 pending grades.

AERS

—

Insufficient closed grades

Pending

8

Open horizons

Closed

0

Graded outcomes

First tracked

Apr 22, 2026

Open horizons

  • Google: Gemini 3.5 Flash delivers frontier-level capabilities at less than half the cost of comparable frontier models, per Sundar Pichai statement May 19, 2026

    Grade by Nov 21, 2026· 6 months·Entry 023·Materiality 3/5

  • Google: Gemini 3.5 Flash launched May 19 at $1.50/million input tokens, 3× the price of Gemini 3 Flash Preview, now default in Gemini app and Search globally

    Grade by Sep 19, 2026· 4 months·Entry 022·Materiality 3/5

  • Google: I/O 2026 positions Gemini as 'the operating layer beneath' Google platforms, opens May 19

    Grade by Nov 19, 2026· 6 months·Entry 021·Materiality 2/5

  • Google: First known AI-built zero-day exploit disrupted by Threat Intelligence Group on May 11, 2026

    Grade by Nov 13, 2026· 6 months·Entry 017·Materiality 3/5

  • Google: First AI-built zero-day exploit detected and disrupted in foiled cyberattack

    Grade by Dec 11, 2026· 7 months·Entry 016·Materiality 2/5

  • Google: 75% of new code is AI-generated, up from 50% in six months

    Invalidator — Credible investigative reporting, leaked internal documents, or Google correcting its own disclosures shows the actual proportion of AI-generated code at Google in April 2026 was below 65%, or that the methodology counted code that was minimally AI-assisted as "AI-generated."

    Grade by Dec 31, 2026· 8 months·Entry 010·Materiality 5/5

  • Google to invest up to $40 billion in Anthropic, contingent on performance milestones

    Invalidator — Google invests less than $8 billion in Anthropic by December 31, 2026, or credible financial reporting (via IPO filings, earnings disclosures, or investigative journalism from Bloomberg, WSJ, or Financial Times) shows Anthropic did not meet the performance milestones and received less than $25 billion of the contingent $30 billion by April 2028.

    Grade by Apr 24, 2028· 2 years·Entry 005·Materiality 5/5

  • Google: 75% of new code AI-generated

    Invalidator — Google retracts or materially revises the 75% figure, or credible third-party analysis (e.g., from engineering trade publications or security researchers with access to Google codebases) demonstrates that AI contribution to committed code is below 60%.

    Grade by Oct 22, 2026· 6 months·Entry 002·Materiality 5/5

About this scorecard

The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between Google’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).

AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.