Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
Musk / SpaceXAI
1 claim tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 1 pending grade.
AERS
—
Insufficient closed grades
Pending
1
Open horizons
Closed
0
Graded outcomes
First tracked
Sep 28, 2026
Open horizons
Musk / SpaceXAI: Colossus 2 may more than double its current Nvidia chip count to over 1.2 million by December 31, 2026
Invalidator — If Colossus 2 chip count remains below 1 million by year-end per credible third-party reporting or SpaceX earnings disclosures, or if the December tranche does not deploy, the projection fails. Hedge language ("if we get lucky") acknowledged.
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between Musk / SpaceXAI’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.