Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
US Government via Commerce Department
1 claim tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 1 pending grade.
AERS
—
Insufficient closed grades
Pending
1
Open horizons
Closed
0
Graded outcomes
First tracked
Jun 15, 2026
Open horizons
US Government via Commerce Department: Issued export control directive June 12, 2026, forcing Anthropic to suspend Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access for all users citing jailbreak vulnerability and national security
Invalidator — If Anthropic publishes verified evidence that no jailbreak method was demonstrated to government officials before the directive was issued, or if the directive is rescinded with an acknowledgment that the technical justification was insufficient, the claim fails.
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between US Government via Commerce Department’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.